> Re: "Extrapolating GPT-N performance" and "Revisiting ‘Is AI Progress Impossible To Predict?’" sections of google doc
Read Section 5.6 titled "The Limit of the Predictability of Scaling Behavior" of "Broken Neural Scaling Laws" paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.14891v4
The linked document contains a collection of AI Forecasting research ideas, prepared by some Epoch employees in a personal capacity
We think that these are interesting and valuable projects that research interns or students could look into, though they may vary in difficulty (depending on your background/experience)
This is the result of a quick brainstorming and curation, rather than a thorough deliberative process. We encourage a critical outlook when reading them
> Re: "Extrapolating GPT-N performance" and "Revisiting ‘Is AI Progress Impossible To Predict?’" sections of google doc
Read Section 5.6 titled "The Limit of the Predictability of Scaling Behavior" of "Broken Neural Scaling Laws" paper:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.14891v4